2011 NC High School Football Predictions
Last updated: Thursday, December 1, 2011 - thru games of November 25
Prediction Accuracy
LAST WEEK: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% accuracy rate
SEASON TOTAL: 1886 right, 420 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Week 1: 143 right, 41 wrong - 78% accuracy rate
Week 2: 146 right, 35 wrong - 81% accuracy rate
Week 3: 133 right, 34 wrong - 80% accuracy rate
Week 4: 145 right, 37 wrong - 80% accuracy rate
Week 5: 156 right, 35 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Week 6: 151 right, 27 wrong - 85% accuracy rate
Week 7: 161 right, 33 wrong - 83% accuracy rate
Week 8: 159 right, 34 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Week 9: 159 right, 33 wrong - 83% accuracy rate
Week 10: 163 right, 32 wrong - 84% accuracy rate
Week 11: 159 right, 34 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Playoffs
Week 1: 113 right, 25 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Week 2: 61 right, 8 wrong - 88% accuracy rate
Week 3: 27 right, 6 wrong - 82% accuracy rate
Regional: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% accuracy rate
Last Week's Results
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - FRIDAY NOVEMBER 25, 2011 | |
|
| REGIONAL FINALS | |
|
| 4AA | Pick | Score
|
| East - Jack Britt (11-2) at Garner (14-0) | G by 5 | G 34-27
|
| West - Mallard Creek (13-0) at Page (13-0) | P by 1 | P 41-27
|
| | |
|
| 4A | Pick | Score
|
| East - New Bern (12-1) at Scotland (13-0) | S by 16 | S 61-28
|
| West - Mooresville (12-2) at Porter Ridge (13-0) | P by 13 | P 34-28
|
| | |
|
| 3AA | Pick | Score
|
| East - Northern Guilford (12-1) at Hunt (13-0) | N by 10 | N 29-13
|
| West - Crest (11-3) at Charlotte Catholic (13-0) | CC by 16 | Cr 35-28
|
| | |
|
| 3A | Pick | Score
|
| East - Cleveland (11-3) at Havelock (14-0) | H by 27 | H 64-7
|
| West - West Rowan (12-2) at Burns (13-1) | B by 11 | W 33-7
|
| | |
|
| 2AA | Pick | Score
|
| East - Reidsville (11-3) at Kinston (12-1) | Even( R ) | K 20-16
|
| West - Shelby (9-5) at West Stokes (14-0) | W by 1 | W 32-29
|
| | |
|
| 2A | Pick | Score
|
| East - South Columbus (10-3) at Tarboro (11-2) | T by 10 | T 13-10
|
| West - Thomasville (10-4) at Lincolnton (13-1) | L by 3 | L 26-0
|
| | |
|
| 1AA | Pick | Score
|
| East - Ayden-Grifton (12-1) at Wallace-Rose Hill (13-1) | W by 11 | A 14-13
|
| West - West Montgomery (11-2) at Swain County (13-1) | S by 13 | S 37-35
|
| | |
|
| 1A | Pick | Score
|
| East - Jones Senior (9-4) at Manteo (12-1) | M by 5 | J 14-12
|
| West - Murphy (10-4) at Albemarle (13-1) | A by 11 | M 42-41(2ot)
|
| For the week: | 10/16 |
|
| | 63% |
|
This Week's Picks
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two
teams and adding in two points for the home team. The predictions will become
more accurate as the season progresses.
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - DECEMBER 2-3, 2011 |
|
| STATE CHAMPIONSHIPS | Pick
|
| 4AA - at Wake Forest |
|
| Garner (15-0) vs. Page (14-0) | P by 7
|
| |
|
| 4A - at Wake Forest |
|
| Scotland (14-0) vs. Porter Ridge (14-0) | S by 15
|
| |
|
| 3AA - at UNC |
|
| Northern Guilford (13-1) vs. Crest (12-3) | N by 14
|
| |
|
| 3A - at UNC |
|
| Havelock (15-0) vs. West Rowan (13-2) | H by 9
|
| |
|
| 2AA - at NCSU |
|
| Kinston (13-1) vs. West Stokes (15-0) | K by 4
|
| |
|
| 2A - at NCSU |
|
| Tarboro (12-2) vs. Lincolnton (14-1) | T by 3
|
| |
|
| 1AA - at Wake Forest |
|
| Ayden-Grifton (13-1) vs. Swain County (14-1) | S by 7
|
| |
|
| 1A - at NCSU |
|
| Jones Senior (10-4) vs. Murphy (11-4) | M by 5
|