2025 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Tuesday, December 23, 2025 - thru games of December 22
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team.
These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.
NFL Football Predictions
In this section I display my results at picking games this season, and present this
week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picking results totals.
PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS:
SEASON TO DATE: 157 right, 82 wrong - 66% right; 38% right and within 8 points (92/239)
WEEK BY WEEK:
Week 1: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right; 63% right and within 8 points (10/16)
Week 2: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 3: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16)
Week 4: 9 right, 6 wrong - 60% right; 27% right and within 8 points (4/15) - 1 tie (doesn't count)
Week 5: 6 right, 8 wrong - 43% right; 21% right and within 8 points (3/14)
Week 6: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 47% right and within 8 points (7/15)
Week 7: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 33% right and within 8 points (5/15)
Week 8: 9 right, 4 wrong - 69% right; 8% right and within 8 points (1/13)
Week 9: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 50% right and within 8 points (7/14)
Week 10: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 29% right and within 8 points (4/14)
Week 11: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right; 47% right and within 8 points (7/15)
Week 12: 11 right, 3 wrong - 79% right; 57% right and within 8 points (8/14)
Week 13: 8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 31% right and within 8 points (5/16)
Week 14: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right; 36% right and within 8 points (5/14)
Week 15: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right; 38% right and within 8 points (6/16)
Week 16: 10 right, 6 wrong - 63% right; 44% right and within 8 points (7/16)
This Week's Games
| WEEK 17 | |
|
| THURSDAY DECEMBER 25 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Dallas (6-8-1) at Washington (4-11) (1:00) | W by 1 |
|
| Detroit (8-7) at Minnesota (7-8) (4:30) | M by 0.5 |
|
| Denver (12-3) at Kansas City (6-9) (8:15) | D by 1 |
|
| | |
|
| SATURDAY DECEMBER 27 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Houston (10-5) at LA Chargers (11-4) (4:30) | Even - L |
|
| Baltimore (7-8) at Green Bay (9-5-1) (8:00) | G by 7 |
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY DECEMBER 28 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Arizona (3-12) at Cincinnati (5-10) (1:00) | C by 3.5 |
|
| Jacksonville (11-4) at Indianapolis (8-7) | J by 0.5 |
|
| New England (12-3) at NY Jets (3-12) | NE by 9 |
|
| New Orleans (5-10) at Tennessee (3-12) | T by 1 |
|
| Pittsburgh (9-6) at Cleveland (3-12) | P by 5.5 |
|
| Seattle (12-3) at Carolina (8-7) | S by 6 |
|
| Tampa Bay (7-8) at Miami (6-9) | T by 0.5 |
|
| NY Giants (2-13) at Las Vegas (2-13) (4:05) | L by 2 |
|
| Philadelphia (10-5) at Buffalo (11-4) (4:25) | B by 3.5 |
|
| Chicago (11-4) at San Francisco (11-4) (8:20) | S by 6 |
|
| | |
|
| MONDAY DECEMBER 29 | PICK | SCORE
|
| LA Rams (11-4) at Atlanta (6-9) (8:15) | L by 7.5 |
|
Last Week's Games
| WEEK 16 | |
|
| THURSDAY DECEMBER 18 | PICK | SCORE
|
| LA Rams (11-3) at Seattle (11-3) (8:15) | S by 2 | S 38-37(ot)
|
| | |
|
| SATURDAY DECEMBER 20 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Philadelphia (9-5) at Washington (4-10) (5:00) | P by 5 | P 29-18
|
| Green Bay (9-4-1) at Chicago (10-4) (8:20) | C by 1.5 | C 22-16(ot)
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY DECEMBER 21 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Buffalo (10-4) at Cleveland (3-11) (1:00) | B by 8.5 | B 23-20
|
| Cincinnati (4-10) at Miami (6-8) | M by 5.5 | C 45-21
|
| Kansas City (6-8) at Tennessee (2-12) | K by 5 | T 26-9
|
| LA Chargers (10-4) at Dallas (6-7-1) | L by 1 | L 34-17
|
| Minnesota (6-8) at NY Giants (2-12) | M by 2 | M 16-13
|
| NY Jets (3-11) at New Orleans (4-10) | NO by 6 | NO 29-6
|
| Tampa Bay (7-7) at Carolina (7-7) | C by 1.5 | C 23-20
|
| Atlanta (5-9) at Arizona (3-11) (4:05) | Ari by 2 | Atl 26-19
|
| Jacksonville (10-4) at Denver (12-2) | D by 3 | J 34-20
|
| Las Vegas (2-12) at Houston (9-5) (4:25) | H by 17 | H 23-21
|
| Pittsburgh (8-6) at Detroit (8-6) | D by 5 | P 29-24
|
| New England (11-3) at Baltimore (7-7) (8:20) | N by 0.5 | N 28-24
|
| | |
|
| MONDAY DECEMBER 22 | PICK | SCORE
|
| San Francisco (10-4) at Indianapolis (8-6) (8:15) | I by 2 | S 48-27
|
| | |
|
| Correct winners: | 10/16 |
|
| Correct winner and within 8 points: | 7/16 |
|
NFL Team Rankings
| | Team | W | L | T | Rating | LW
|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 4 | 0 | 58.63 | 1
|
| 2 | Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 58.10 | 2
|
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 11 | 4 | 0 | 55.78 | 4
|
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 4 | 0 | 55.57 | 6
|
| 5 | Houston Texans | 10 | 5 | 0 | 55.42 | 3
|
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | 11 | 4 | 0 | 54.24 | 7
|
| 7 | New England Patriots | 12 | 3 | 0 | 53.92 | 10
|
| 8 | Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 5 | 0 | 53.57 | 9
|
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 12 | 3 | 0 | 53.55 | 5
|
| 10 | Green Bay Packers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 53.15 | 8
|
| 11 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 4 | 0 | 52.88 | 13
|
| 12 | Chicago Bears | 11 | 4 | 0 | 52.38 | 14
|
| 13 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 7 | 0 | 52.20 | 11
|
| 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 51.75 | 16
|
| 15 | Detroit Lions | 8 | 7 | 0 | 51.74 | 12
|
| 16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.74 | 17
|
| 17 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 9 | 0 | 49.73 | 15
|
| 18 | Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.36 | 18
|
| 19 | Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.33 | 19
|
| 20 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 49.15 | 20
|
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 9 | 0 | 48.04 | 23
|
| 22 | Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 8 | 1 | 47.00 | 21
|
| 23 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 10 | 0 | 46.31 | 27
|
| 24 | Miami Dolphins | 6 | 9 | 0 | 46.16 | 22
|
| 25 | New Orleans Saints | 5 | 10 | 0 | 46.10 | 26
|
| 26 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45.91 | 24
|
| 27 | Washington Commanders | 4 | 11 | 0 | 44.88 | 25
|
| 28 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 12 | 0 | 44.14 | 29
|
| 29 | New York Giants | 2 | 13 | 0 | 43.73 | 28
|
| 30 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 12 | 0 | 43.16 | 30
|
| 31 | Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 13 | 0 | 42.50 | 32
|
| 32 | New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 0 | 41.87 | 31
|
NFL Teams By Division
PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.
| | NFL 2025 | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC EAST(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | 11 | 4 | 0 | 54.24 | 434 | 344 | 27
|
| 7 | New England Patriots | 12 | 3 | 0 | 53.92 | 410 | 300 | 32
|
| 24 | Miami Dolphins | 6 | 9 | 0 | 46.16 | 317 | 369 | 28
|
| 32 | New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 0 | 41.87 | 282 | 426 | 23
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC NORTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 51.75 | 365 | 350 | 17
|
| 18 | Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.36 | 359 | 348 | 25
|
| 23 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 10 | 0 | 46.31 | 359 | 458 | 11
|
| 30 | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 12 | 0 | 43.16 | 246 | 355 | 22
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC SOUTH(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 11 | 4 | 0 | 55.78 | 410 | 312 | 10
|
| 5 | Houston Texans | 10 | 5 | 0 | 55.42 | 346 | 249 | 6
|
| 13 | Indianapolis Colts | 8 | 7 | 0 | 52.20 | 419 | 351 | 9
|
| 28 | Tennessee Titans | 3 | 12 | 0 | 44.14 | 251 | 403 | 2
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC WEST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 9 | Denver Broncos | 12 | 3 | 0 | 53.55 | 362 | 295 | 31
|
| 11 | Los Angeles Chargers | 11 | 4 | 0 | 52.88 | 349 | 301 | 30
|
| 17 | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 | 9 | 0 | 49.73 | 337 | 294 | 18
|
| 31 | Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 13 | 0 | 42.50 | 217 | 386 | 5
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC EAST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 8 | Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 5 | 0 | 53.57 | 349 | 289 | 20
|
| 22 | Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 8 | 1 | 47.00 | 424 | 454 | 26
|
| 27 | Washington Commanders | 4 | 11 | 0 | 44.88 | 309 | 404 | 19
|
| 29 | New York Giants | 2 | 13 | 0 | 43.73 | 313 | 412 | 7
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC NORTH(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 10 | Green Bay Packers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 53.15 | 364 | 303 | 24
|
| 12 | Chicago Bears | 11 | 4 | 0 | 52.38 | 387 | 354 | 29
|
| 15 | Detroit Lions | 8 | 7 | 0 | 51.74 | 452 | 374 | 21
|
| 19 | Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.33 | 305 | 320 | 16
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC SOUTH(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 8 | 0 | 49.74 | 347 | 377 | 4
|
| 20 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 49.15 | 287 | 337 | 14
|
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 9 | 0 | 48.04 | 307 | 360 | 15
|
| 25 | New Orleans Saints | 5 | 10 | 0 | 46.10 | 255 | 338 | 13
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC WEST(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 1 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 4 | 0 | 58.63 | 457 | 299 | 3
|
| 2 | Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 58.10 | 443 | 279 | 12
|
| 4 | San Francisco 49ers | 11 | 4 | 0 | 55.57 | 392 | 320 | 8
|
| 26 | Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45.91 | 321 | 414 | 1
|