2009 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Tuesday, February 9, 2010 - final ratings
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by each Tuesday
night during the season. To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take
the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for
the home team.
These ratings are based on several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength,
and margin of victory in games. Enjoy!
NFL Team Rankings
| | Team | W | L | T | Rating
|
| 1 | New Orleans Saints | 16 | 3 | 0 | 60.5
|
| 2 | Indianapolis Colts | 16 | 3 | 0 | 59.2
|
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 13 | 5 | 0 | 57.1
|
| 4 | New York Jets | 11 | 8 | 0 | 56.4
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 10 | 7 | 0 | 56.0
|
| 6 | Dallas Cowboys | 12 | 6 | 0 | 55.9
|
| 7 | San Diego Chargers | 13 | 4 | 0 | 55.5
|
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 8 | 0 | 55.4
|
| 9 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.4
|
| 10 | Green Bay Packers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.2
|
| 11 | Atlanta Falcons | 9 | 7 | 0 | 53.5
|
| 12 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 53.4
|
| 13 | Houston Texans | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.8
|
| 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5
|
| 15 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 51.1
|
| 16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 10 | 7 | 0 | 50.9
|
| 17 | Arizona Cardinals | 11 | 7 | 0 | 50.9
|
| 18 | New York Giants | 8 | 8 | 0 | 50.1
|
| 19 | Tennessee Titans | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.8
|
| 20 | Denver Broncos | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.5
|
| 21 | San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.3
|
| 22 | Buffalo Bills | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.9
|
| 23 | Chicago Bears | 7 | 9 | 0 | 46.8
|
| 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 9 | 0 | 45.8
|
| 25 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 13 | 0 | 44.7
|
| 26 | Washington Redskins | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.0
|
| 27 | Cleveland Browns | 5 | 11 | 0 | 43.5
|
| 28 | Oakland Raiders | 5 | 11 | 0 | 42.7
|
| 29 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 12 | 0 | 42.4
|
| 30 | Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 11 | 0 | 41.7
|
| 31 | Detroit Lions | 2 | 14 | 0 | 37.8
|
| 32 | St. Louis Rams | 1 | 15 | 0 | 36.3
|
NFL Teams By Division
SS=Schedule strength ranking
| | NFL 2009 | | | | |
|
| | AFC EAST(2) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 4 | New York Jets | 11 | 8 | 0 | 56.4 | 4
|
| 5 | New England Patriots | 10 | 7 | 0 | 56.0 | 6
|
| 15 | Miami Dolphins | 7 | 9 | 0 | 51.1 | 2
|
| 22 | Buffalo Bills | 6 | 10 | 0 | 47.9 | 5
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | AFC NORTH(5) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | 10 | 8 | 0 | 55.4 | 9
|
| 14 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.5 | 25
|
| 16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 10 | 7 | 0 | 50.9 | 18
|
| 27 | Cleveland Browns | 5 | 11 | 0 | 43.5 | 21
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | AFC SOUTH(3) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 2 | Indianapolis Colts | 16 | 3 | 0 | 59.2 | 14
|
| 13 | Houston Texans | 9 | 7 | 0 | 51.8 | 23
|
| 19 | Tennessee Titans | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.8 | 10
|
| 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 9 | 0 | 45.8 | 19
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | AFC WEST(7) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 7 | San Diego Chargers | 13 | 4 | 0 | 55.5 | 27
|
| 20 | Denver Broncos | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.5 | 16
|
| 28 | Oakland Raiders | 5 | 11 | 0 | 42.7 | 11
|
| 29 | Kansas City Chiefs | 4 | 12 | 0 | 42.4 | 22
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | NFC EAST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 6 | Dallas Cowboys | 12 | 6 | 0 | 55.9 | 13
|
| 9 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.4 | 12
|
| 18 | New York Giants | 8 | 8 | 0 | 50.1 | 8
|
| 26 | Washington Redskins | 4 | 12 | 0 | 44.0 | 20
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | NFC NORTH(6) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 13 | 5 | 0 | 57.1 | 28
|
| 10 | Green Bay Packers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 54.2 | 31
|
| 23 | Chicago Bears | 7 | 9 | 0 | 46.8 | 26
|
| 31 | Detroit Lions | 2 | 14 | 0 | 37.8 | 17
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | NFC SOUTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 1 | New Orleans Saints | 16 | 3 | 0 | 60.5 | 15
|
| 11 | Atlanta Falcons | 9 | 7 | 0 | 53.5 | 7
|
| 12 | Carolina Panthers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 53.4 | 3
|
| 25 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 13 | 0 | 44.7 | 1
|
| | | | | | |
|
| | NFC WEST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | SS
|
| 17 | Arizona Cardinals | 11 | 7 | 0 | 50.9 | 29
|
| 21 | San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.3 | 32
|
| 30 | Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 11 | 0 | 41.7 | 30
|
| 32 | St. Louis Rams | 1 | 15 | 0 | 36.3 | 24
|
NFL Football Predictions
SEASON RESULTS:
Simmons: 169 right, 98 wrong - 63% accuracy rate
Sagarin: 176 right, 91 wrong - 66% accuracy rate
Vegas line: 184 right, 83 wrong - 69% accuracy rate