2010 NFL Power Ratings and Game Predictions

Last updated: Wednesday, February 9, 2011 - final ratings

Welcome to my pro football power ratings.  I will be updating this page by each Wednesday 
night during the season.  To determine the approximate point spread for a game, simply take 
the difference between the power ratings of the two teams in question and add 3 points for 
the home team.

These ratings are based on several factors, including win-loss record, schedule strength, 
and margin of victory in games.

NFL Team Rankings

LW = Last week's ranking

Team W L T Rating LW
1 New England Patriots 14 3 0 60.0 1
2 Green Bay Packers 14 6 0 58.6 2
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 14 5 0 57.2 3
4 New York Jets 13 6 0 56.4 4
5 Baltimore Ravens 13 5 0 56.2 5
6 Atlanta Falcons 13 4 0 55.4 6
7 Chicago Bears 12 6 0 53.5 7
8 Philadelphia Eagles 10 7 0 52.9 8
9 New York Giants 10 6 0 52.3 10
10 New Orleans Saints 11 6 0 52.3 9
11 Indianapolis Colts 10 7 0 52.1 11
12 San Diego Chargers 9 7 0 51.8 12
13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 6 0 51.6 13
14 Detroit Lions 6 10 0 49.8 14
15 Oakland Raiders 8 8 0 49.6 15
16 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 49.6 16
17 Kansas City Chiefs 10 7 0 49.4 17
18 Minnesota Vikings 6 10 0 48.6 18
19 Tennessee Titans 6 10 0 48.5 19
20 Houston Texans 6 10 0 47.9 21
21 Dallas Cowboys 6 10 0 47.8 20
22 Jacksonville Jaguars 8 8 0 47.6 22
23 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 47.5 23
24 Cincinnati Bengals 4 12 0 47.2 24
25 Washington Redskins 6 10 0 46.9 25
26 Buffalo Bills 4 12 0 46.4 26
27 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 46.2 27
28 St. Louis Rams 7 9 0 45.8 28
29 Seattle Seahawks 8 10 0 45.8 29
30 Denver Broncos 4 12 0 43.1 30
31 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 0 41.8 31
32 Carolina Panthers 2 14 0 40.2 32


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking

NFL 2010
AFC EAST(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 New England Patriots 14 3 0 60.0 539 341 9
4 New York Jets 13 6 0 56.4 431 365 3
16 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 49.6 273 333 2
26 Buffalo Bills 4 12 0 46.4 283 425 1

AFC NORTH(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Pittsburgh Steelers 14 5 0 57.2 455 306 10
5 Baltimore Ravens 13 5 0 56.2 411 308 11
23 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 47.5 271 332 8
24 Cincinnati Bengals 4 12 0 47.2 322 395 4

AFC SOUTH(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
11 Indianapolis Colts 10 7 0 52.1 451 405 20
19 Tennessee Titans 6 10 0 48.5 356 339 18
20 Houston Texans 6 10 0 47.9 390 427 17
22 Jacksonville Jaguars 8 8 0 47.6 353 419 23

AFC WEST(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
12 San Diego Chargers 9 7 0 51.8 441 322 29
15 Oakland Raiders 8 8 0 49.6 410 371 28
17 Kansas City Chiefs 10 7 0 49.4 373 356 31
30 Denver Broncos 4 12 0 43.1 344 471 21


NFC EAST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
8 Philadelphia Eagles 10 7 0 52.9 455 398 14
9 New York Giants 10 6 0 52.3 394 347 22
21 Dallas Cowboys 6 10 0 47.8 394 436 15
25 Washington Redskins 6 10 0 46.9 302 377 13

NFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 Green Bay Packers 14 6 0 58.6 509 316 5
7 Chicago Bears 12 6 0 53.5 383 331 16
14 Detroit Lions 6 10 0 49.8 362 369 7
18 Minnesota Vikings 6 10 0 48.6 281 348 6

NFC SOUTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Atlanta Falcons 13 4 0 55.4 435 336 19
10 New Orleans Saints 11 6 0 52.3 420 348 25
13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10 6 0 51.6 341 318 24
32 Carolina Panthers 2 14 0 40.2 196 408 12

NFC WEST(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
27 San Francisco 49ers 6 10 0 46.2 305 346 27
28 St. Louis Rams 7 9 0 45.8 289 328 32
29 Seattle Seahawks 8 10 0 45.8 375 478 26
31 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 0 41.8 289 434 30


NFL Football Predictions


In this section I compare my results at picking games this season, against the
results of Jeff Sagarin of USA Today rounded to the nearest whole number (no
1/2 point spreads here).

SEASON RESULTS:        
Brian Simmons:  163 right, 104 wrong - 61% accuracy rate
Jeff Sagarin:   163 right, 104 wrong - 61% accuracy rate