2012 NFL Power Ratings and Game Predictions

Last updated: Monday, February 4, 2013 - final ratings

These ratings are based on several factors, including win-loss record,
schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.

NFL Team Rankings


Team W L T Rating
1 San Francisco 49ers 13 5 1 57.2
2 Baltimore Ravens 14 6 0 56.8
3 Seattle Seahawks 12 6 0 56.7
4 New England Patriots 13 5 0 56.1
5 Denver Broncos 13 4 0 56.1
6 Green Bay Packers 12 6 0 54.9
7 Atlanta Falcons 14 4 0 54.8
8 Chicago Bears 10 6 0 53.9
9 Houston Texans 13 5 0 53.7
10 New York Giants 9 7 0 53.2
11 Minnesota Vikings 10 7 0 52.2
12 Cincinnati Bengals 10 7 0 52.0
13 Washington Redskins 10 7 0 51.9
14 St. Louis Rams 7 8 1 50.3
15 Dallas Cowboys 8 8 0 50.3
16 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 8 0 50.0
17 Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 50.0
18 Indianapolis Colts 11 6 0 49.8
19 New Orleans Saints 7 9 0 49.7
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 9 0 48.8
21 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 48.3
22 San Diego Chargers 7 9 0 48.2
23 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 0 46.8
24 Detroit Lions 4 12 0 46.5
25 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 46.3
26 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 46.1
27 New York Jets 6 10 0 46.1
28 Tennessee Titans 6 10 0 45.4
29 Philadelphia Eagles 4 12 0 43.8
30 Oakland Raiders 4 12 0 43.0
31 Jacksonville Jaguars 2 14 0 41.0
32 Kansas City Chiefs 2 14 0 40.2


NFL Teams By Division

PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is strongest and 32 is weakest)

NFL 2012
AFC EAST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
4 New England Patriots 13 5 0 56.1 611 387 17
21 Miami Dolphins 7 9 0 48.3 288 317 25
25 Buffalo Bills 6 10 0 46.3 344 435 28
27 New York Jets 6 10 0 46.1 281 375 18

AFC NORTH(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
2 Baltimore Ravens 14 6 0 56.8 522 432 6
12 Cincinnati Bengals 10 7 0 52.0 404 339 23
16 Pittsburgh Steelers 8 8 0 50.0 336 314 30
26 Cleveland Browns 5 11 0 46.1 302 368 19

AFC SOUTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
9 Houston Texans 13 5 0 53.7 463 385 15
18 Indianapolis Colts 11 6 0 49.8 366 411 27
28 Tennessee Titans 6 10 0 45.4 330 471 26
31 Jacksonville Jaguars 2 14 0 41.0 255 444 22

AFC WEST(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
5 Denver Broncos 13 4 0 56.1 516 327 29
22 San Diego Chargers 7 9 0 48.2 350 350 32
30 Oakland Raiders 4 12 0 43.0 290 443 31
32 Kansas City Chiefs 2 14 0 40.2 211 425 20


NFC EAST(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
10 New York Giants 9 7 0 53.2 429 344 11
13 Washington Redskins 10 7 0 51.9 450 412 12
15 Dallas Cowboys 8 8 0 50.3 376 400 9
29 Philadelphia Eagles 4 12 0 43.8 280 444 10

NFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Green Bay Packers 12 6 0 54.9 488 391 7
8 Chicago Bears 10 6 0 53.9 375 277 13
11 Minnesota Vikings 10 7 0 52.2 389 372 5
24 Detroit Lions 4 12 0 46.5 372 437 8

NFC SOUTH(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Atlanta Falcons 14 4 0 54.8 473 355 24
17 Carolina Panthers 7 9 0 50.0 357 363 16
19 New Orleans Saints 7 9 0 49.7 461 454 14
20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 9 0 48.8 389 394 21

NFC WEST(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 San Francisco 49ers 13 5 1 57.2 501 362 1
3 Seattle Seahawks 12 6 0 56.7 464 289 4
14 St. Louis Rams 7 8 1 50.3 299 348 3
23 Arizona Cardinals 5 11 0 46.8 250 357 2


NFL Football Predictions


In this section I compare my results at picking games this season, against the
results of Jeff Sagarin of USA Today rounded to the nearest whole number (no
1/2 point spreads here).


PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES:

SEASON TO DATE:
Brian Simmons: 174 right, 93 wrong -  65% right, 30% right and within 7 points (81/267)
Jeff Sagarin:  175 right, 92 wrong -  66% right, 33% right and within 7 points (89/267)

Playoff Recap

Playoffs - Wild Card Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 5 Simmons Sagarin Score
Cincinnati (10-6) at Houston (12-4) (4:30) H by 5 H by 4 H 19-13
Minnesota (10-6) at Green Bay (11-5) (8:00) G by 5 G by 5 G 24-10

SUNDAY JANUARY 6 Simmons Sagarin Score
Indianapolis (11-5) at Baltimore (10-6) (1:00) B by 5 B by 8 B 24-9
Seattle (11-5) at Washington (10-6) (4:30) S by 1 S by 5 S 24-14
For the week: 4/4 4/4
Within 7 points: 1/4 3/4


Playoffs - Divisional Round
SATURDAY JANUARY 12 Simmons Sagarin Score
Baltimore (11-6) at Denver (13-3) (4:30) D by 7 D by 9 B 38-35(2ot)
Green Bay (12-5) at San Francisco (11-4-1) (8:00) S by 4 S by 4 S 45-31

SUNDAY JANUARY 13 Simmons Sagarin Score
Seattle (12-5) at Atlanta (13-3) (1:00) A by 1 S by 2 A 30-28
Houston (13-4) at New England (12-4) (4:30) N by 6 N by 8 N 41-28
For the week: 3/4 2/4
Within 7 points: 2/4 1/4


Playoffs - Conference Championships
SUNDAY JANUARY 20 Simmons Sagarin Score
NFC - San Francisco (12-4-1) at Atlanta (14-3) (3:00) A by 2 S by 1 S 28-24
AFC - Baltimore (12-6) at New England (13-4) (6:30) N by 7 N by 9 B 28-13
For the week: 0/2 1/2
Within 7 points: 0/2 1/2


Super Bowl XLVII - at New Orleans, LA
SUNDAY FEBRUARY 3 Simmons Sagarin Score
Baltimore (13-6) vs. San Francisco (13-4-1) S by 3 S by 4 B 34-31
For the week: 0/1 0/1
Within 7 points: 0/1 0/1