2020 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions
Last updated: Monday, February 8, 2021 - final ratings
Welcome to my pro football power ratings. I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season. To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 2 points for the home team (this season). Early
in the season, preseason ratings are factored in.
These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.
NFL Football Predictions
In this section I display my results at picking games this season, rounded
to the nearest whole number (no 1/2 point spreads here) and present this
week's picks. Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picks totals.
PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES:
SEASON TO DATE: 182 right, 86 wrong - 68% right, 39% right and within 7 points (105/268)
WEEK BY WEEK:
Week 1: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 50% right and within 7 points (8/16)
Week 2: 14 right, 2 wrong - 88% right, 56% right and within 7 points (9/16)
Week 3: 10 right, 5 wrong - 67% right, 33% right and within 7 points (5/15) (1 tie game - doesn't count)
Week 4: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right, 53% right and within 7 points (8/15)
Week 5: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14)
Week 6: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 21% right and within 7 points (3/14)
Week 7: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14)
Week 8: 7 right, 7 wrong - 50% right, 29% right and within 7 points (4/14)
Week 9: 9 right, 5 wrong - 64% right, 36% right and within 7 points (5/14)
Week 10: 10 right, 4 wrong - 71% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14)
Week 11: 8 right, 6 wrong - 57% right, 43% right and within 7 points (6/14)
Week 12: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16)
Week 13: 11 right, 4 wrong - 73% right, 33% right and within 7 points (5/15)
Week 14: 9 right, 7 wrong - 56% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16)
Week 15: 11 right, 5 wrong - 69% right, 44% right and within 7 points (7/16)
Week 16: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right, 25% right and within 7 points (4/16)
Week 17: 13 right, 3 wrong - 81% right, 56% right and within 7 points (9/16)
Wild Card: 4 right, 2 wrong - 67% right, 56% right and within 7 points (4/6)
Divisional: 3 right, 1 wrong - 75% right, 25% right and within 7 points (1/4)
Conference: 1 right, 1 wrong - 50% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/2)
Super Bowl: 1 right, 0 wrong - 100% right, 0% right and within 7 points (0/1)
Playoff Summary
| Playoffs - Wild Card Round | |
|
| SATURDAY JANUARY 9 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Indianapolis (11-5) at Buffalo (13-3) (1:05) | B by 6 | B 27-24
|
| LA Rams (10-6) at Seattle (12-4) (4:40) | S by 3 | L 30-20
|
| Tampa Bay (11-5) at Washington (7-9) (8:15) | T by 6 | T 31-23
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY JANUARY 10 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Baltimore (11-5) at Tennessee (11-5) (1:05) | B by 2 | B 20-13
|
| Chicago (8-8) at New Orleans (12-4) (4:40) | N by 9 | N 21-9
|
| Cleveland (11-5) at Pittsburgh (12-4) (8:15) | P by 6 | C 48-37
|
| Correct winners: | 4/6 |
|
| Correct winner and within 7 points: | 4/6 |
|
| | |
|
| | |
|
| Playoffs - Divisional Round | |
|
| SATURDAY JANUARY 16 | PICK | SCORE
|
| LA Rams (10-7) at Green Bay (13-3) (4:35) | G by 4 | G 32-18
|
| Baltimore (12-5) at Buffalo (14-3) (8:15) | Buf by 3 | Buf 17-3
|
| | |
|
| SUNDAY JANUARY 17 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Cleveland (12-5) at Kansas City (14-2) (3:05) | K by 7 | K 22-17
|
| Tampa Bay (12-5) at New Orleans (13-4) (6:40) | N by 2 | T 30-20
|
| Correct winners: | 3/4 |
|
| Correct winner and within 7 points: | 1/4 |
|
| | |
|
| | |
|
| Playoffs - Conference Championships | |
|
| SUNDAY JANUARY 24 | PICK | SCORE
|
| NFC - Tampa Bay (13-5) at Green Bay (14-3) (3:05) | G by 2 | T 31-26
|
| AFC - Buffalo (15-3) at Kansas City (15-2) (6:40) | K by 1 | K 38-24
|
| Correct winners: | 1/2 |
|
| Correct winner and within 7 points: | 0/2 |
|
| | |
|
| | |
|
| Super Bowl LV - at Tampa, FL | |
|
| SUNDAY FEBRUARY 7 | PICK | SCORE
|
| Kansas City (16-2) at Tampa Bay (14-5) (6:30) | T by 2 | T 31-9
|
| Correct winners: | 1/1 |
|
| Correct winner and within 7 points: | 0/1 |
|
NFL Team Rankings
| | Team | W | L | T | Rating
|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 15 | 5 | 0 | 59.2
|
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 16 | 3 | 0 | 57.4
|
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | 15 | 4 | 0 | 57.1
|
| 4 | Green Bay Packers | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.6
|
| 5 | New Orleans Saints | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.3
|
| 6 | Baltimore Ravens | 12 | 6 | 0 | 55.8
|
| 7 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.3
|
| 8 | Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.3
|
| 9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.1
|
| 10 | Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 6 | 0 | 52.7
|
| 11 | Miami Dolphins | 10 | 6 | 0 | 52.5
|
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | 12 | 6 | 0 | 51.8
|
| 13 | Tennessee Titans | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.4
|
| 14 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | 50.4
|
| 15 | Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.7
|
| 16 | Chicago Bears | 8 | 9 | 0 | 49.6
|
| 17 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | 49.5
|
| 18 | New England Patriots | 7 | 9 | 0 | 49.4
|
| 19 | Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.2
|
| 20 | Washington Football | 7 | 10 | 0 | 48.2
|
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 12 | 0 | 48.1
|
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.9
|
| 23 | Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 9 | 0 | 47.6
|
| 24 | New York Giants | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.6
|
| 25 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.3
|
| 26 | Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 0 | 45.7
|
| 27 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 1 | 45.5
|
| 28 | Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | 45.0
|
| 29 | Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 11 | 1 | 44.5
|
| 30 | Detroit Lions | 5 | 11 | 0 | 43.9
|
| 31 | New York Jets | 2 | 14 | 0 | 42.1
|
| 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 0 | 40.0
|
NFL Teams By Division
PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest). SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.
| | NFL 2020 | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC EAST(5) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | 15 | 4 | 0 | 57.1 | 569 | 440 | 10
|
| 11 | Miami Dolphins | 10 | 6 | 0 | 52.5 | 404 | 338 | 27
|
| 18 | New England Patriots | 7 | 9 | 0 | 49.4 | 326 | 353 | 11
|
| 31 | New York Jets | 2 | 14 | 0 | 42.1 | 243 | 457 | 1
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC NORTH(3) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 6 | Baltimore Ravens | 12 | 6 | 0 | 55.8 | 491 | 333 | 20
|
| 9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.1 | 453 | 360 | 31
|
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | 12 | 6 | 0 | 51.8 | 473 | 478 | 23
|
| 29 | Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 11 | 1 | 44.5 | 311 | 424 | 22
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC SOUTH(7) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 10 | Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 6 | 0 | 52.7 | 475 | 389 | 32
|
| 13 | Tennessee Titans | 11 | 6 | 0 | 51.4 | 504 | 459 | 30
|
| 28 | Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | 45.0 | 384 | 464 | 21
|
| 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 0 | 40.0 | 306 | 492 | 17
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | AFC WEST(4) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 16 | 3 | 0 | 57.4 | 542 | 434 | 8
|
| 15 | Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49.7 | 434 | 478 | 7
|
| 19 | Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9 | 0 | 48.2 | 384 | 426 | 16
|
| 25 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | 46.3 | 323 | 446 | 3
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC EAST(8) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 20 | Washington Football | 7 | 10 | 0 | 48.2 | 358 | 360 | 28
|
| 24 | New York Giants | 6 | 10 | 0 | 46.6 | 280 | 357 | 18
|
| 26 | Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 0 | 45.7 | 395 | 473 | 29
|
| 27 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 1 | 45.5 | 334 | 418 | 15
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC NORTH(6) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 4 | Green Bay Packers | 14 | 4 | 0 | 56.6 | 567 | 418 | 24
|
| 16 | Chicago Bears | 8 | 9 | 0 | 49.6 | 381 | 391 | 13
|
| 23 | Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 9 | 0 | 47.6 | 430 | 475 | 19
|
| 30 | Detroit Lions | 5 | 11 | 0 | 43.9 | 377 | 519 | 14
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC SOUTH(1) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 15 | 5 | 0 | 59.2 | 615 | 433 | 2
|
| 5 | New Orleans Saints | 13 | 5 | 0 | 56.3 | 523 | 376 | 12
|
| 21 | Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 12 | 0 | 48.1 | 396 | 414 | 4
|
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 5 | 11 | 0 | 47.9 | 350 | 402 | 5
|
| | | | | | | | |
|
| | NFC WEST(2) | W | L | T | Rating | PF | PA | SS
|
| 7 | Los Angeles Rams | 11 | 7 | 0 | 54.3 | 420 | 348 | 9
|
| 8 | Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 5 | 0 | 53.3 | 479 | 401 | 25
|
| 14 | Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | 50.4 | 410 | 367 | 26
|
| 17 | San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | 49.5 | 376 | 390 | 6
|