PICKING WINNERS STRAIGHT UP IN GAMES/WINNERS AND WITHIN 8 PTS. ON SPREAD:
SEASON TOTAL: 2043 right, 369 wrong - 85% right; 41% right and within 8 pts. (979/2412)
Week by week:
Week 1: 151 right, 56 wrong - 73% right; 33% right and within 8 pts. (68/207)
Week 2: 156 right, 39 wrong - 80% right; 35% right and within 8 pts. (68/195)
Week 3: 162 right, 29 wrong - 85% right; 37% right and within 8 pts. (71/191)
Week 4: 140 right, 32 wrong - 81% right; 35% right and within 8 pts. (61/172)
Week 5: 160 right, 33 wrong - 83% right; 42% right and within 8 pts. (81/193)
Week 6: 115 right, 13 wrong - 90% right; 48% right and within 8 pts. (62/128)
Week 7: 167 right, 28 wrong - 86% right; 46% right and within 8 pts. (90/195)
Week 8: 163 right, 30 wrong - 84% right; 40% right and within 8 pts. (78/193)
Week 9: 174 right, 21 wrong - 89% right; 45% right and within 8 pts. (88/195)
Week 10: 177 right, 23 wrong - 89% right; 41% right and within 8 pts. (82/200)
Week 11: 182 right, 19 wrong - 91% right; 40% right and within 8 pts. (80/201)
Playoffs:
Round 1: 95 right, 22 wrong - 81% right; 43% right and within 8 pts. (50/117)
Round 2: 110 right, 8 wrong - 93% right; 43% right and within 8 pts. (51/118)
Round 3: 50 right, 9 wrong - 85% right; 47% right and within 8 pts. (28/59)
Round 4: 26 right, 2 wrong - 93% right; 50% right and within 8 pts. (14/28)
Regionals: 8 right, 4 wrong - 67% right; 42% right and within 8 pts. (5/12)
State: 7 right, 1 wrong - 88% right; 25% right and within 8 pts. (2/8)
I calculate the spread for each game by taking the power ratings of the two
teams and adding in two points for the home team. If the margin of victory
exceeds 42 points, take the difference between the forecast spread and 42 and
divide by 2 to get my projected spread, due to the new NC mercy rule(running
clock once spread hits 35 in the second half). For example, 60 points would
become 51; 50 points would become 46, etc. The predictions will become more
accurate as the season progresses.
* = conference game
NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - THURSDAY DECEMBER 11, 2025-SATURDAY DECEMBER 13, 2025 |
| | STATE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES | |
|
| 8A - THURSDAY DECEMBER 11 at 8:00 PM - UNC-CHAPEL HILL | PICK | SCORE
|
| Millbrook (13-0) vs. Hough (13-0) | H by 13 | H 21-0
|
| | |
|
| 7A - FRIDAY DECEMBER 12 at 8:00 PM - UNC-CHAPEL HILL | PICK | SCORE
|
| Clayton (12-2) vs. Grimsley (14-0) | G by 13 | G 24-14
|
| | |
|
| 6A - FRIDAY DECEMBER 12 at 4:00 PM - UNC-CHAPEL HILL | PICK | SCORE
|
| Middle Creek (11-2) vs. Watauga (14-0) | W by 2 | W 47-25
|
| | |
|
| 5A - SATURDAY DECEMBER 13 at 8:00 PM - COUNTY STADIUM-DURHAM | PICK | SCORE
|
| Hunt (12-2) vs. Crest (12-2) | C by 26 | C 31-14
|
| | |
|
| 4A - SATURDAY DECEMBER 13 at 11:00 AM - LENOIR-RHYNE UNIV.-HICKORY | PICK | SCORE
|
| Reidsville (12-2) vs. Brevard (14-0) | R by 5 | R 50-20
|
| | |
|
| 3A - SATURDAY DECEMBER 13 at 2:00 PM - COUNTY STADIUM-DURHAM | PICK | SCORE
|
| Kinston (11-4) vs. Shelby (12-3) | S by 16 | S 84-41
|
| | |
|
| 2A - SATURDAY DECEMBER 13 at 5:00 PM - LENOIR-RHYNE UNIV.-HICKORY | PICK | SCORE
|
| Tarboro (14-0) vs. Murphy (12-2) | T by 11 | T 22-0
|
| | |
|
| 1A - THURSDAY DECEMBER 11 at 4:00 PM - UNC-CHAPEL HILL | PICK | SCORE
|
| Wilson Prep (8-5) vs. Robbinsville (10-3) | R by 2 | W 9-8
|
| | |
|
| For the week: | 7/8 | 87.5%
|
| Correct pick and within 8 points or less: | 2/8 | 25.0%
|
| NCHSAA PLAYOFFS - THURSDAY DECEMBER 4-SATURDAY DECEMBER 6, 2025 | |
|
| REGIONAL FINALS | |
|
| 7A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #3 Clayton (11-2) at #1 Cardinal Gibbons (12-1) | CG by 10 | Clay 35-32
|
| West - #2 Weddington (12-1) at #1 Grimsley (13-0) | W by 3 | G 13-7
|
| | |
|
| 6A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #3 Middle Creek (10-2) at #1 Jacksonville (12-0) | J by 2 | M 31-21
|
| West - #2 Northern Guilford (12-1) at #1 Watauga (13-0) | Even - W | W 43-42
|
| | |
|
| 5A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #3 Northside(Jacksonville) (11-2) at #1 Hunt (11-2) | H by 8 | H 20-7
|
| West - #4 Crest (11-2) at #3 Hickory (12-1) | C by 13 | C 39-21
|
| | |
|
| 4A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #2 West Craven (12-1) at #1 Reidsville (11-2) | R by 11 | R 23-21
|
| West - #6 Maiden (9-4) at #1 Brevard (13-0) | B by 6 | B 30-13
|
| | |
|
| 3A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #14 Kinston (10-4) at #1 James Kenan (12-1) | J by 8 | K 30-7
|
| West - #10 Shelby (11-3) at #8 Lincolnton (11-2) | S by 8 | S 30-0
|
| | |
|
| 2A GAMES | PICK | SCORE
|
| East - #2 Warren County (11-2) at #1 Tarboro (13-0) | T by 33 | T 40-0
|
| West - #2 Starmount (11-2) at #1 Murphy (11-2) | M by 10 | M 14-2
|
| | |
|
| For the week: | 8/12 | 66.7%
|
| Correct pick and within 8 points or less: | 5/12 | 41.7%
|