2026 NFL Power Ratings and Predictions



Last updated:  Tuesday, September 22, 2026 - thru games of September 21


Welcome to my pro football power ratings.  I will be updating this page by
each Wednesday night during the season.  To determine the approximate point
spread for a game, simply take the difference between the power ratings of the
two teams in question and add 3 points for the home team.  


These ratings are based on a mathematical formula including several factors,
including win-loss record, schedule strength, and margin of victory in games.

NFL Football Predictions



In this section I display my results at picking games this season, and present this
week's picks.  Tie games are thrown out and don't count in the picking results totals.


PICKING WINNERS IN GAMES/PICKING WINNER AND MARGIN WITHIN 8 POINTS:

SEASON TO DATE: 20 right, 12 wrong - 63% right; 25% right and within 8 points(8/32)


WEEK BY WEEK: 
Week 1: 12 right, 4 wrong - 75% right; 31% right and within 8 points(5/16)
Week 2:  8 right, 8 wrong - 50% right; 19% right and within 8 points(3/16)


This Week's Games

WEEK 3
THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 24 PICK
Atlanta (0-2) at Green Bay (1-1) (8:15) G by 11

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 27 PICK
Carolina (1-1) at Cleveland (1-1) (1:00) Clev by 0.5
Cincinnati (2-0) at Pittsburgh (1-1) C by 1.5
Houston (0-2) at Indianapolis (0-2) I by 1
Kansas City (2-0) at Miami (0-2) K by 7.5
LA Chargers (0-2) at Buffalo (2-0) B by 13.5
New England (1-1) at Jacksonville (1-1) Even - J
NY Jets (1-1) at Detroit (1-1) D by 8.5
Seattle (2-0) at Washington (0-2) S by 10.5
Tennessee (0-2) at NY Giants (1-1) N by 8.5
Arizona (1-1) at San Francisco (2-0) (4:05) S by 15.5
Minnesota (2-0) at Tampa Bay (0-2) M by 5
Baltimore (1-1) vs. Dallas (1-1) (at Rio De Janeiro, Brazil) (4:25) B by 4
Las Vegas (2-0) at New Orleans (1-1) N by 4
LA Rams (1-1) at Denver (1-1) (8:20) L by 1.5

MONDAY SEPTEMBER 28 PICK
Philadelphia (2-0) at Chicago (1-1) (8:15) C by 3


Last Week's Games


WEEK 2
THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 17 PICK FINAL SCORE
Detroit (1-0) at Buffalo (1-0) (8:15) B by 7.5 B 41-31

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 20 PICK FINAL SCORE
Carolina (0-1) at Atlanta (0-1) (1:00) A by 4.5 C 34-3
Cincinnati (1-0) at Houston (0-1) H by 5 C 20-6
Cleveland (0-1) at Tampa Bay (0-1) T by 8 C 23-19
Green Bay (0-1) at NY Jets (1-0) Even - N G 20-17(ot)
Minnesota (1-0) at Chicago (1-0) C by 4 M 9-3
New Orleans (0-1) at Baltimore (1-0) B by 11 N 24-17
Philadelphia (1-0) at Tennessee (0-1) P by 7 P 24-20
Pittsburgh (1-0) at New England (0-1) N by 6 N 20-3
Jacksonville (1-0) at Denver (0-1) (4:05) Even - J D 20-13
Las Vegas (1-0) at LA Chargers (0-1) LA by 6 LV 26-14
Miami (0-1) at San Francisco (1-0) (4:25) S by 16 S 35-13
Seattle (1-0) at Arizona (1-0) S by 8 S 31-7
Washington (0-1) at Dallas (0-1) D by 4 D 37-20
Indianapolis (0-1) at Kansas City (1-0) (8:20) K by 10 K 33-30(ot)

MONDAY SEPTEMBER 21 PICK FINAL SCORE
NY Giants (1-0) at LA Rams (0-1) (8:15) L by 9 L 28-6

Correct winners: 8/16
Correct winner and within 8 points: 3/16


NFL Team Rankings

Team W L T Rating LW
1 Seattle Seahawks 2 0 0 59.16 1
2 San Francisco 49ers 2 0 0 57.56 3
3 Buffalo Bills 2 0 0 57.02 2
4 Los Angeles Rams 1 1 0 55.87 5
5 New England Patriots 1 1 0 54.95 8
6 Minnesota Vikings 2 0 0 54.74 13
7 Kansas City Chiefs 2 0 0 53.45 6
8 Baltimore Ravens 1 1 0 53.35 4
9 Cincinnati Bengals 2 0 0 52.34 14
10 Chicago Bears 1 1 0 52.22 9
11 Philadelphia Eagles 2 0 0 52.18 10
12 Jacksonville Jaguars 1 1 0 52.17 7
13 Detroit Lions 1 1 0 51.46 12
14 Denver Broncos 1 1 0 51.22 15
15 Green Bay Packers 1 1 0 50.37 18
16 New Orleans Saints 1 1 0 50.11 23
17 Dallas Cowboys 1 1 0 49.60 21
18 Houston Texans 0 2 0 49.52 11
19 Las Vegas Raiders 2 0 0 48.94 25
20 Pittsburgh Steelers 1 1 0 48.04 16
21 Carolina Panthers 1 1 0 47.96 29
22 Indianapolis Colts 0 2 0 47.40 22
23 New York Giants 1 1 0 47.16 19
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 2 0 46.75 20
25 Los Angeles Chargers 0 2 0 46.72 17
26 New York Jets 1 1 0 46.13 28
27 Cleveland Browns 1 1 0 45.47 30
28 Washington Commanders 0 2 0 45.43 24
29 Arizona Cardinals 1 1 0 45.13 27
30 Miami Dolphins 0 2 0 43.08 31
31 Atlanta Falcons 0 2 0 42.61 26
32 Tennessee Titans 0 2 0 41.86 32


NFL Teams By Division


PF = Points for
PA = Points against
SS = Strength of schedule ranking (1 is toughest and 32 is weakest).  SOS is
based on games played so far during the season, not the entire season schedule.

NFL 2026
AFC EAST(3) W L T Rating PF PA SS
3 Buffalo Bills 2 0 0 57.02 77 62 16
5 New England Patriots 1 1 0 54.95 30 16 4
26 New York Jets 1 1 0 46.13 40 30 29
30 Miami Dolphins 0 2 0 43.08 26 62 1

AFC NORTH(5) W L T Rating PF PA SS
8 Baltimore Ravens 1 1 0 53.35 58 47 20
9 Cincinnati Bengals 2 0 0 52.34 53 33 22
20 Pittsburgh Steelers 1 1 0 48.04 23 33 19
27 Cleveland Browns 1 1 0 45.47 33 53 11

AFC SOUTH(7) W L T Rating PF PA SS
12 Jacksonville Jaguars 1 1 0 52.17 47 30 21
18 Houston Texans 0 2 0 49.52 37 56 12
22 Indianapolis Colts 0 2 0 47.40 53 74 7
32 Tennessee Titans 0 2 0 41.86 30 47 28

AFC WEST(4) W L T Rating PF PA SS
7 Kansas City Chiefs 2 0 0 53.45 64 40 26
14 Denver Broncos 1 1 0 51.22 30 44 9
19 Las Vegas Raiders 2 0 0 48.94 53 27 30
25 Los Angeles Chargers 0 2 0 46.72 28 52 31


NFC EAST(6) W L T Rating PF PA SS
11 Philadelphia Eagles 2 0 0 52.18 48 42 32
17 Dallas Cowboys 1 1 0 49.60 57 48 27
23 New York Giants 1 1 0 47.16 34 48 10
28 Washington Commanders 0 2 0 45.43 42 61 3

NFC NORTH(2) W L T Rating PF PA SS
6 Minnesota Vikings 2 0 0 54.74 48 25 14
10 Chicago Bears 1 1 0 52.22 62 46 13
13 Detroit Lions 1 1 0 51.46 62 71 5
15 Green Bay Packers 1 1 0 50.37 42 56 6

NFC SOUTH(8) W L T Rating PF PA SS
16 New Orleans Saints 1 1 0 50.11 54 48 2
21 Carolina Panthers 1 1 0 47.96 71 62 25
24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 2 0 46.75 46 56 18
31 Atlanta Falcons 0 2 0 42.61 16 54 23

NFC WEST(1) W L T Rating PF PA SS
1 Seattle Seahawks 2 0 0 59.16 44 17 17
2 San Francisco 49ers 2 0 0 57.56 62 20 24
4 Los Angeles Rams 1 1 0 55.87 35 33 15
29 Arizona Cardinals 1 1 0 45.13 33 45 8